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  3. Quantum Stocks Surge on Trump Backing. An Intel Deja-Vu?
Investing & Themes

Quantum Stocks Surge on Trump Backing. An Intel Deja-Vu?

The U.S. Commerce Department awarded $2 billion in grants to nine quantum technology companies, with IBM receiving $1 billion for America's first pure-play quantum foundry. The move reflects Washington's strategic equity-backed industrial policy pattern.

V K
May 22, 20265 min read
Quantum Stocks Surge on Trump Backing. An Intel Deja-Vu?

Quantum computing stocks surged in pre-market trading on 21 May 2026 after the Wall Street Journal reported that the U.S. The Commerce Department will award approximately $2 billion in grants to nine quantum technology companies, with the government taking minority equity stakes in each recipient in return. 

 

The move mirrors Washington's earlier interventions in Intel and the rare earths sector, reinforcing a pattern of strategic, equity-backed industrial policy under the Trump administration. Are we about to witness a dramatic move upward for quantum stocks like Intel? 

 

If so, you want to check out Lunate’s Boreas Solactive Quantum Computing UCITS ETF (QUANTM) listed on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX)

What the $2 Billion Deal Covers

According to the WSJ report, IBM is the largest single recipient, expected to receive approximately $1 billion to build what it is calling Anderon, described as America's first pure-play quantum foundry, located in Albany, New York. IBM has pledged to match the federal funding dollar-for-dollar with a further $1 billion of its own capital. 

GlobalFoundries is slated for $375 million, while D-Wave Quantum, Rigetti Computing, Infleqtion, Atom Computing, PsiQuantum, and Quantinuum are each expected to receive approximately $100 million. Australian startup Diraq would receive the smallest tranche at $38 million. The agreements are expected to be funded under the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act.

 

Sympathy plays not directly included in the grants also rallied: IonQ (IONQ) climbed as the sector's most commercially advanced pure-play, while Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) gained over 13% in pre-market hours.

"The award would accelerate D-Wave's ability to scale quantum innovation domestically, expedite key fabrication processes, and deliver real-world quantum applications."

The Intel Precedent

The quantum grants follow a playbook Washington has already run once. In August 2025, the government converted $8.9 billion in unpaid CHIPS Act grants into a 9.9% equity stake in Intel  433.3 million shares at $20.47 each. That stake is now worth approximately $36 billion, as Intel's stock surged 84% in 2025 and a further 80% year to date.

 

The Q1 2026 earnings report confirmed the turnaround was real. Intel posted $13.6 billion in revenue, beating consensus by $1.4 billion with non-GAAP EPS of $0.29 against an expected $0.01. AI-related businesses drove 60% of revenue, growing 40% YoY. 

 

The quantum grants follow the same structure. The difference is in stage: Intel had decades of manufacturing infrastructure behind it. Quantum companies do not. The precedent is encouraging; it is not a guarantee.

Quantum Fundamentals: What the Companies Are Actually Reporting

Each major listed quantum company has just reported Q1 2026 results. Revenue is uneven, but bookings, backlog, and cash runway point to accelerating commercial traction.

Revenue is uneven across the group, but forward indicators tell a more consistent story. IonQ's remaining performance obligations hit $470 million; D-Wave's Q1 bookings surged 1,994% despite a headline revenue decline caused by a non-recurring prior-year system sale. 

Collectively, the four companies hold over $4.2 billion in cash, sufficient runway to absorb losses while technology matures, with today's federal grants adding a further layer of government-backed capital.

The ETF Route: QUANTM as the GCC-Listed Exposure Vehicle

For GCC investors seeking diversified exposure without the single-stock risk of pure-plays, the Boreas Solactive Quantum Computing UCITS ETF (QUANTM) offers a uniquely accessible listed vehicle. Launched in September 2025, it became the first thematic ETF to list on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX), meaning GCC-based investors can access the quantum theme directly through a regional exchange, without the need for an international broker. 

 

The fund tracks the Solactive Developed Quantum Computing Index, holding 25 names spanning both pure-play quantum specialists and mega-cap technology firms, including Alphabet, D-Wave, IonQ, Rigetti, Microsoft, Nvidia, and IBM.

The index uses Solactive's ARTIS Natural Language Processing tool to identify and rank companies by their degree of exposure to quantum computing value drivers covering hardware, software, and algorithms, and quantum communication and sensing. This methodology blends the asymmetric upside of pure-play innovators with the cash-flow stability of established hyperscalers, offering a balanced approach across the full quantum value chain.

GCC Investor Note 

QUANTM is listed directly on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX), making it accessible to GCC-based investors without the need for an international broker or U.S. market access. Investors holding AED- or SAR-denominated assets should note that the fund's underlying holdings are USD-denominated, introducing currency risk. As with any thematic ETF, liquidity on regional exchanges may be lower than on major U.S. or European venues. 

Mitigating the Risks 

The main risks, single-stock volatility, early-stage losses, and deal uncertainty, can be managed through QUANTM's structure:

  • Diversification by design. QUANTM holds 25 names spanning pure-play quantum specialists and mega-cap incumbents such as IBM, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Nvidia, smoothing out the wild swings of individual names like RGTI or QBTS.
  • Blended exposure. The fund's methodology combines asymmetric upside from pure-plays with the cash-flow stability of established hyperscalers, reducing but not eliminating downside.
  • Size appropriately. Treat QUANTM as a satellite allocation. 3–5% of a portfolio is a commonly cited ceiling for early-stage thematic exposure.
  • Watch for confirmation. Pre-market moves on grant news can be sharp and short-lived. Wait for official Commerce Department announcements before adding to positions.

GCC Sovereign Capital and Thematic Alignment

The quantum surge arrives as GCC sovereign wealth funds are already deep into adjacent technology bets. Collectively, the region's five major funds, PIF, ADIA, Mubadala, QIA, and KIA, manage close to $5 trillion in assets, with a growing proportion directed toward deep tech.

 

Mubadala's AI subsidiary MGX is reportedly in discussions to acquire Aligned Data Centers in a deal potentially worth $40 billion. ADIA has established the ADIA Lab, an independent research institution focused on computational sciences and AI. Quantum computing represents a natural extension of these existing digital infrastructure mandates, particularly as quantum advantage in optimisation could directly benefit sovereign portfolio management, energy transition modelling, and cybersecurity.

Bottom Line 

The $2B federal commitment is a genuine catalyst, not just hype, because it mirrors a playbook (CHIPS Act:  Intel was up by 380%) that has already delivered. The smarter entry is through QTUM or IBM rather than pure-plays like QBTS or RGTI, which can halve in weeks. The thesis is real; the timeline to profitability is not.

Quantum ComputingGCCChimera

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